Project Inform
   

PI Perspective #19

September 1996     View PDF

The XIth International Conference on AIDS …
New Milestones for AIDS Research and Treatment

The XI International Conference on AIDS, held in Vancouver, British Columbia, will be remembered as a milestone in the history of the AIDS epidemic. The question of whether treatment is extending life was answered affirmatively by several studies. In fact, studies presented at the conference showed that just about any two-drug combination seems capable of slowing disease progression and extending survival. For the first time, HIV’s response to therapy is beginning to look more like other infectious diseases. Exotic theories are no longer needed to explain its relentless assault on the immune system. The principal dangers now are the risk of overstatement and the fear that reports of progress might lessen urgency on a governmental level or reduce the sense of risk on a personal level. Dealing with such problems seems to many to be a luxury compared to the bleakness of past years. Whether or not the scientific advances so enthusiastically reported in the media hold up to long-term scrutiny, at the very least Vancouver in 1996 was the city where the misguided despair of the 1993 conference in Berlin gave way to hope.

Key Treatment Themes from Vancouver
The complete picture of the two years’ worth of studies reported at Vancouver cannot be covered in a single issue of this or any other journal. Project Inform will report only on the most relevant treatment information from the conference in this PI Perspective. This issue will focus on the broad themes and most widely discussed topics. The loudest messages from Vancouver regarding treatment advances can be summarized as:

Confirmatory data and consensus on the use of viral load markers (HIV RNA PCR and bDNA): These data were not new and were reported previously in PI Perspective #18. However, they were now extended and supported by additional studies. This led the International AIDS Society—USA to present the first guidelines for the use of viral load testing in managing HIV disease.

Identification of a clear target for the use of antiretroviral therapy and indications that viral resistance may be more manageable than previously thought: Several studies showed that when viral reproduction is reduced below the limit of detection on the currently available tests, the dynamics of viral resistance are dramatically changed. Study of a 3-drug combination with nevirapine demonstrated that even drugs which are subject to very rapid development of resistance can become useful for long periods when used properly. The rate at which a virus can produce resistant mutations is directly tied to how much it replicates. Slow its replication and its ability to make resistant mutations decreases proportionally. The same pattern has been shown in studies of protease inhibitors, as reported in the antiviral update article. Thus, most scientists agree that the goal of antiviral therapy is to reduce viral replication to the lowest possible level (preferably below the limit of detection on the viral load test) for the longest possible time.

Other data supporting this treatment goal come from the large Multicenter AIDS Cohort Study (MACS) presented by John Mellors of the University of Pittsburgh. They showed that even small differences in viral load, over time, have a large survival impact. The longest survival was routinely seen in people with the lowest level of viral replication. Each stepped increase in viral load correlated to measurably worsened chances of survival over time.

These findings support a shift in HIV disease management. It is no longer enough to merely reduce viral load or cause modest increases in CD4+ cell counts, or even to make short-term improvements in disease progression and survival. Instead, physicians must now learn to establish long-term disease management strategies to counter the risk of viral resistance. The key is long-term suppression of HIV RNA at or below the limit of detection of the test.

Extension of our knowledge about the use of protease inhibitors—both longer-term data and additional studies: Many studies previously reported in PI Perspective #18 have been extended and almost all show long-term retention of the benefits initially seen. These longer-term data, and new studies, are detailed in the Update on Antivirals.

Impressive new data on a previously overlooked class of drugs—non-nucleoside reverse transcriptase inhibitors (NNRTIs): A new study of nevirapine, demonstrates that it is possible to overcome or greatly delay viral resistance when a drug combination is sufficiently powerful, no matter how prone the individual drugs are to inducing resistance when used alone. Triple-drug therapy with nevirapine is far less expensive than therapy with protease inhibitors and can also shut down all measurable viral activity in many people. This creates an option for people to preserve the use of protease inhibitors for later in the course of disease management. Additionally, the combination of nevirapine with AZT and ddI was shown to have very impressive initial results in treating pediatric HIV, signaling the first time triple-drug therapy has been used in children.

Growing concern over the risk of multi-drug resistant HIV strains and the critical importance of using antiretroviral therapies exactly as prescribed: Several studies demonstrate that the development of resistance to antiviral drugs is linked to failure to adhere to the prescribed use of therapies. Dose reductions and inconsistent use of therapies were shown to contribute to the quick development of resistance against protease inhibitors and the NNRTI drugs (and probably to earlier generation drugs as well). Conversely, careful adherence to the prescribed dosing regimen was shown to keep the viral load unmeasurable and prevent the development of resistance. The treatment of HIV disease has thus come to mimic the patterns established for the treatment of tuberculosis. The primary rule is to treat the disease correctly or you may do more harm than good. Once multi-drug-resistant strains of virus develop, not only do they cripple the drugs’ ability to fight the disease, but they can also be passed to others. Thus, poor adherence to therapy regimens has public health consequences as well as personal ones. This has major implications for HIV prevention programs. It also increases the consequences of re-infection when two HIV-positive people play without regard for risk of transmission, as they can transfer drug-resistant HIV from one to the other.

Growing awareness of the difficult choices posed by the current generation of protease inhibitors: Despite the glowing promise attributed to protease inhibitors as a class of drug, the fact is that the currently available therapies (saquinavir, ritonavir, and indinavir) range widely in potency, risk of side effects, drug interactions and ease of use. The choices are complex and not well understood by many patients and physicians and are often complicated by widespread misinformation. These issues are discussed in the article New Treatment Strategies.

First public discussion of whether HIV might someday be eradicated from infected people: Most discussion of this startling topic took place at a meeting a month prior to the Vancouver conference. Project Inform was one of the few community groups privileged to attend. (See the article Eradication of HIV.)

What’s Missing?
Despite the hope generated by these advances, the conference was something of a letdown in several areas. There were virtually no major reports on advances in the treatment or prophylaxis of opportunistic infections, except those reported earlier in the year. Likewise, little in the way of advance was reported on immune reconstitution or immune-based therapies. Although much work is underway in this area, studies are simply not at the point where it is meaningful to begin reporting results. Finally, as at previous conferences, little attention was given to alternative therapies, leaving patients once again to fend for themselves when exploring these approaches to treatment.

Perhaps the most significant hole in the new data was the complete lack of therapeutic advances relevant to the developing world. The much touted theme of the Vancouver conference was “One World, One Hope.” After a few days of hearing about $12,000 per year therapy regimens, many activists began to rephrase the theme as “One World, One Hope - Big Joke.” The cost and complexity of the new therapeutic advances rule out their use in most of the world, and certainly in the countries where 90% of the HIV cases exist today. Many such places haven’t the resources to provide a safe glass of water each day for HIV-infected people, let alone protease inhibitors and combination therapy. Even in the U.S., the cost of these therapies is bankrupting state drug assistance programs and threatens to bring Medicaid to its knees over time (see the article on access).

Clearly, while this has been a time of major advances, the solution to AIDS is not yet upon us. As long as the embers of AIDS are smoldering in any corner of the globe, or on any impoverished block in our cities, HIV disease poses a serious threat to all. There will be no solution until we find one which is available and accessible to everyone. However grateful we may feel because of the advances now so dramatically helping some, we cannot rest until there are safe, simple and inexpensive solutions for everyone. We still have a long way to go.

 
     
 

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